In this exercise, you will see how profits are made if one is
"long" a market and how profits are made when one is
"short" a market. For the purpose of this exercise we are
using crude oil. The prices below are not actual prices, but are only
hypothetical examples to show how profits are made from being
"long" or "short" a futures position.
Suppose it is January 2010.
Assume you can buy crude oil for delivery in December of 2010.
Assume you can sell crude oil for delivery in December of 2010.
The choice is up to you.
Assume the price of December 2010 crude oil has been trading in the
following ranges during the first week of January, 2010.
.
Higest Price
Lowest Price
Closing Price
Monday
25.50
24.50
25.00
Tuesday
25.25
24.75
24.75
Wednesday
25.50
24.45
24.50
Thursday
26.00
24.50
25.50
Friday
25.75
24.75
25.00
When the markets open on Monday you want to make a decision with
regard to an investment in crude oil.
Select one
of these two options:
Crude oil
is priced at $25 for December 2010 delivery. You want to
bet that it will go to $30 before it declines to $20.